The place of crime cannot be changed? Comprehensive analysis of the spatial distribution of thefts and violent crimes in Almaty and Astana

The place of crime cannot be changed? Comprehensive analysis of the spatial distribution of thefts and violent crimes in Almaty and Astana

Authors

Keywords:

criminology, spatial distribution of crime, evidence–based policy, violent crimes, property crimes, hot spots

Abstract

This article presents a comprehensive study of the distribution of non-serious thefts and violent crimes in the two largest metropolitan areas of Kazakhstan: Astana and Almaty. We examine the phenomenon of crime from different aspects: spatial patterns of crimes, “hot spots” of cities, their dynamics over the last 5 years, the connection of different types of crimes with the characteristics of space (number of residents, average value of real estate, etc.) and territories, which have abnormally large number of crimes, given their characteristics. The results of the analysis can be useful in planning preventive police work, as well as for a general understanding of the criminal situation and its dynamics in Astana and Almaty.

Author's detail

Dmitry

Senior researcher at the Maqsut Narikbayev Institute for Network and Development, researcher at the IPP EUSP, scientific director of the Kazakhstan Sociology Lab.

Asem Kusmanova

Researcher at Kazakhstan Sociology Lab.

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Published online

2025-03-20

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